Top-25 foes meet in ACC action

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

01/25/2007 - Durham, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A pair of talented ACC teams will collide in Durham this evening, as the 10th-ranked Duke Blue Devils welcome the 19th-ranked Clemson Tigers to town.

Clemson enters this contest with an 18-2 record, the first time the program has been as successful in its first 20 games since 1986-87. After winning 17 in a row to open the campaign, the Tigers suffered back-to-back defeats to Maryland and North Carolina. Fortunately, they were able to get back in the win column with an impressive 74-54 decision over Boston College on Saturday.

Since losing two straight games to open league play, Duke has managed three consecutive wins over conference opponents, all by more than 20 points. On Saturday, the Blue Devils were completely dominant in a 79-56 romp over NC State, and they are now 12-1 at home.

Duke has won its last 19 games against Clemson, and the Blue Devils own a commanding 97-27 advantage in the all-time series with the Tigers. Furthermore, Duke is 52-4 at home against Clemson.

On Saturday, Clemson shot 50.8 percent from the floor and finished with only eight turnovers in the victory over Boston College. The Tigers managed 21 more field goal attempts than the Eagles, overshadowing the fact that the club shot a lowly 3-of-9 from the foul line. Leading the way in the win was Cliff Hammonds, as he netted 17 points. James Mays contributed 14 points, and Vernon Hamilton added 13 points. The Tigers are scoring 77.0 ppg while limiting opponents to 63.2 ppg. K.C. Rivers does not start for Clemson, but he leads the team in scoring with 14.3 ppg on the strength of his 42.4 percent shooting from three-point range. Mays is netting 13.5 ppg to go along with a team-high 7.3 rpg, and Hamilton adds 11.8 ppg. The fourth and final double-digit scorer for the Tigers is Hammonds with 11.1 ppg.

With five double-digit scorers, Duke certainly benefited from a balanced offensive attack in the victory over NC State on Saturday. Freshman standout Jon Scheyer led the charge with 10 points, and DeMarcus Nelson tallied 15 points. Josh McRoberts and Greg Paulus tallied 13 points apiece, and David McClure rounded out the group with 10 points. The Blue Devils connected on 52.5 percent of their field goal attempts, and they limited the Wolfpack to 34.1 percent efficiency from the floor while forcing them into 20 turnovers. Nelson is the leading scorer for Duke with 14.5 ppg, and McRoberts checks in with 12.6 ppg. As for Scheyer, he is averaging 12.1 ppg and seems to get better with every outing. The Blue Devils are posting 69.5 ppg while limiting opponents to 55.3 ppg on 38.8 percent shooting from the field.

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Pacific-10 Conference odds

Teams that should be in: Stanford

Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.

Should be in:

Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.

Southeastern Conference odds
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State

It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.

Work left to do:

Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.

Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.

Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.

Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile.

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